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   North Korea's Nuclear Test



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After long-range missile test on July 4th, North Korea claimed that they successfully tested Nuclear Weapon on Columbus Day.

Anger and anxiety arise. However, it seems that the U.S. China, Japan, Russia, and South Korean government have no option to deal with this situation. Economic sanction will have almost no impact because N. Korea is an autarky system. China has option but they don¡¯t want to impose too severe economic punishment. Japan will use this opportunity in a way of re-militarize their already modernized armed forces.

The U.S. may consider the option to destroy N. Korean nuclear facilities but it is situated underground which undermines high-tech munition¡¯s effectiveness. Also, possible preemptive attack may trigger full-blown war in Korean peninsula. However, they need to consider that 20 million people are living within the reach of long-range artillery forces as well as missile forces. Also, most of Americans don¡¯t want to spend their tax money for another war. I guess that they don¡¯t want to connect N. Korean nuclear test to War on Terrorism.

Current South Korean government has aggravated the U.S-Korean alliance by using Self-reliant Defense as political rhetoric. It seems that current administration of S. Korea is deeply shocked and has no plan.

The impact of nuclear test was huge. 21 billion dollars disappeared in Korean stock market just for one day. I hope that this crisis will not be ended up with the scenario that Toffler described in his book, War and Anti-war.



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   2006/10/10

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  2006/10/12

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  2006/10/16

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  2006/10/17

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